Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Current implied probability

64%

Yes price

0.64

No price

0.36

Volume

$81.9K

Liquidity

$7.39K

24h volume

$43.67K

Ends

Sep 6, 2026 · 0d

A 64% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 64%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Ends soon

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.