MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

Current implied probability

4%

Yes price

0.04

No price

0.96

Volume

$190.65K

Liquidity

$53.54K

24h volume

$86.36K

Ends

Sep 30, 2026 · 77d

A 4% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 4%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics

Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes probability

1%

Details
Volume$49.66M
Liquidity$16.98K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved
Politics

Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$3.59M
Liquidity$31.35K
Ends169d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
+2.0 pts

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes probability

22%

Details
Volume$42.81M
Liquidity$375.61K
Ends169d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
-0.1 pts

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$23.96M
Liquidity$1.86M
Ends846d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording