MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Current implied probability

0%

Yes price

0.00

No price

1.00

Volume

$6.5M

Liquidity

$239.05K

24h volume

$104.95K

Ends

Oct 4, 2026 · 65d

A 0% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 0%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

About this market

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics
+15.0 pts

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

Yes probability

61%

Details
Volume$892.43K
Liquidity$67.73K
Ends153d
Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes probability

25%

Details
Volume$51.21M
Liquidity$887.59K
Ends153d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
-0.1 pts

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$6.27M
Liquidity$346.96K
EndsClosed
High resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Ambiguous wording
Politics
-0.1 pts

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$72.76M
Liquidity$27.04K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved