MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Current implied probability

5%

Yes price

0.05

No price

0.95

Volume

$24.39M

Liquidity

$395.14K

24h volume

$262.42K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027 · 71d

A 5% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 5%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Source: https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics
-1.0 pts

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes probability

8%

Details
Volume$9.84M
Liquidity$2.84M
Ends13d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
+0.1 pts

Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$1.44M
Liquidity$806.62K
Ends748d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
-0.4 pts

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes probability

78%

Details
Volume$24.73M
Liquidity$555.39K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved
Politics
+1.0 pts

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes probability

93%

Details
Volume$11.74M
Liquidity$4.1M
Ends13d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording