Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Current implied probability

Yes price

0.05

No price

0.95

Volume

$11.75M

Liquidity

$219.45K

24h volume

$76.02K

Ends

Dec 31, 2026 · 148d

A 5% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 5%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.