Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Current implied probability

95%

Yes price

0.94

No price

0.06

Volume

$79.05K

Liquidity

$14.47K

24h volume

$78.68K

Ends

Oct 27, 2026 · 0d

A 95% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 95%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Ends soon

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-lubbock-texas-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Source: disputed

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.