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All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Current implied probability

67%

Yes price

0.67

No price

0.34

Volume

$1.1M

Liquidity

$302.31K

24h volume

$87.85K

Ends

Nov 7, 2028 · 786d

A 67% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 67%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

About this market

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

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