Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Current implied probability

53%

Yes price

0.53

No price

0.47

Volume

$1.61M

Liquidity

$92.86K

24h volume

$118.34K

Ends

Jan 1, 2027 · 64d

A 53% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 53%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

About this market

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.