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All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Current implied probability

36%

Yes price

0.36

No price

0.64

Volume

$1.43M

Liquidity

$123.46K

24h volume

$83.99K

Ends

Dec 31, 2026 · 137d

A 36% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 36%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

About this market

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

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