Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Current implied probability

90%

Yes price

0.90

No price

0.10

Volume

$746.68K

Liquidity

$461.17K

24h volume

$180.61K

Ends

Jul 20, 2026 · 4d

A 90% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 90%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Golden Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.