MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Current implied probability

24%

Yes price

0.24

No price

0.76

Volume

$1.42M

Liquidity

$20.13K

24h volume

$157.32K

Ends

Oct 31, 2026 · 112d

A 24% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 24%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

About this market

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics
+0.1 pts

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$39.64M
Liquidity$29.24K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved
Politics
+1.4 pts

Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes probability

2%

Details
Volume$44.98M
Liquidity$18.96K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved
Politics
-0.1 pts

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$9.18M
Liquidity$100.6K
Ends173d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
+0.5 pts

Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes probability

1%

Details
Volume$13.56M
Liquidity$22.51K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved