Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Current implied probability

Yes price

0.09

No price

0.91

Volume

$701.62K

Liquidity

$114.4K

24h volume

$274.35K

Ends

Oct 31, 2026 · 103d

A 9% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 9%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.