45%
Yes price
0.45
No price
0.55
Volume
$14.82M
Liquidity
$346.64K
24h volume
$82.41K
Ends
Nov 7, 2028 · 829d
A 45% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 45%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Historical probability chart
The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.
Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.
Yes probability
71%
Yes probability
26%
Yes probability
100%
Yes probability
9%