MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Current implied probability

0%

Yes price

0.00

No price

1.00

Volume

$27.49M

Liquidity

$945.04K

24h volume

$75.69K

Ends

Nov 8, 2028 · 770d

A 0% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 0%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes probability

33%

Details
Volume$5.44M
Liquidity$839.73K
Ends28d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
+0.3 pts

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes probability

60%

Details
Volume$12.47M
Liquidity$365.72K
Ends5d
Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Politics
-0.8 pts

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes probability

7%

Details
Volume$2.77M
Liquidity$306.47K
Ends201d
Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Politics

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$22.36M
Liquidity$1.58M
Ends770d
Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution