MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Current implied probability

87%

Yes price

0.86

No price

0.14

Volume

$194.85K

Liquidity

$112.97K

24h volume

$70.99K

Ends

Aug 4, 2026 · 2d

A 87% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 87%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Ends soon

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics
+7.0 pts

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

Yes probability

93%

Details
Volume$1.89M
Liquidity$62.16K
Ends1d
High resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Ambiguous wording
Politics
+7.0 pts

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?

Yes probability

100%

Details
Volume$1.12M
Liquidity$249.14K
EndsToday
High resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Ambiguous wording
Politics
+16.5 pts

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?

Yes probability

27%

Details
Volume$3.63M
Liquidity$54.28K
EndsClosed
High resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Ambiguous wording
Politics
-24.9 pts

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$594.96K
Liquidity$200.95K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved