MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Current implied probability

100%

Yes price

1.00

No price

0.00

Volume

$126.14K

Liquidity

$18.8K

24h volume

$51.57K

Ends

Jun 30, 2027 · 321d

A 100% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 100%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution

Resolution rules

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

About this market

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Count Binface wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics
-0.2 pts

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$79.77M
Liquidity$21.06K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved
Politics
-17.0 pts

Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$600.07K
Liquidity$46.99K
Ends321d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
+62.3 pts

Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes probability

99%

Details
Volume$584.34K
Liquidity$18.37K
Ends321d
Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Politics
-0.9 pts

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$3.69M
Liquidity$217.93K
EndsToday
Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Ends soon