Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Current implied probability
3%
Yes price
0.03
No price
0.97
Volume
$13.41M
Liquidity
$400.06K
24h volume
$112.76K
Ends
Nov 8, 2028 · 771d
A 3% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 3%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.
Resolution risk
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Probability over time
Historical probability chart
The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.
Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.
Related Politics markets
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes probability
31%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes probability
2%
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes probability
0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Yes probability
1%