Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Current implied probability

67%

Yes price

0.67

No price

0.33

Volume

$562.74K

Liquidity

$67.28K

24h volume

$121.94K

Ends

Jan 1, 2028 · 463d

A 67% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 67%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.