MarketPulse
AI
MarketsStocksEvent MarketsPlaygroundScreenersAI ForecastsNewsLearn
MarketPulse
AI

AI-powered market intelligence for Indian and global stocks — fundamentals, technicals, news sentiment, and probabilistic forecasts in one place.

Educational only. Educational only — not financial advice. Markets are risky. Consult a SEBI-registered investment adviser or licensed financial professional before investing.

Product

  • Markets
  • Stocks
  • Event Markets
  • Screeners
  • AI Forecasts
  • Pricing

Learn

  • Education
  • News
  • Basics
  • Technical analysis
  • Fundamentals

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Dashboard

Legal

  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy
  • Terms

© 2026 MarketPulse AI. Data may be delayed.

Not financial advice. Markets carry risk.

  • Home
  • Markets
  • Search
  • Play
  • Alerts
All event markets
Live data
Politics
Active

Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

Current implied probability

66%

Yes price

0.66

No price

0.34

Volume

$139.38K

Liquidity

$4.76K

24h volume

$52.82K

Ends

Sep 13, 2026 · 6d

A 66% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 66%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

High resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Low liquidity

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

About this market

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Liberals (L) receive at least one seat in the Swedish Riksdag as a result of the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Liberals, officially registered as Liberalerna (L). Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If L formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Liberals (L) in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

Related Politics markets

Politics
-17.3 pts

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$1.35M
Liquidity$115.61K
EndsClosed
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Closed / resolved
Politics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$31.19M
Liquidity$2.92M
Ends9d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$13.53M
Liquidity$774.63K
Ends9d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Politics
+2.0 pts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes probability

52%

Details
Volume$23.52M
Liquidity$646.65K
Ends9d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording