Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

Current implied probability

33%

Yes price

0.33

No price

0.68

Volume

$344.5K

Liquidity

$33.76K

24h volume

$101.1K

Ends

Dec 31, 2026 · 144d

A 33% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 33%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.