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All event markets
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Active

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 22?

Current implied probability

0%

Yes price

0.00

No price

1.00

Volume

$100.82K

Liquidity

$1.94K

24h volume

$99.92K

Ends

Jul 22, 2026 · 1d

A 0% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 0%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

High resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Low liquidity
Ends soon

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Source: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA

About this market

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

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Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 22?

Yes probability

0%

Details
Volume$90.68K
Liquidity$15.71K
Ends1d
Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording