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All event markets
Live data
Sports
Active

Spread: England (-1.5)

Current implied probability

16%

Yes price

0.16

No price

0.84

Volume

$62.57K

Liquidity

$143.21K

24h volume

$62.57K

Ends

Jul 15, 2026 · 3d

A 16% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 16%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording
Ends soon

Resolution rules

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Source: https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup

About this market

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Argentina". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

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