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All event markets
Live data
Crypto
Active

Ethereum Up or Down on September 12?

Current implied probability

3%

Yes price

0.03

No price

0.97

Volume

$78.1K

Liquidity

$15.53K

24h volume

$78.09K

Ends

Sep 12, 2026 · 1d

A 3% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 3%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Ends soon

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

About this market

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

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