34%
Yes price
0.34
No price
0.67
Volume
$78.95K
Liquidity
$37.35K
24h volume
$78.78K
Ends
Oct 1, 2026 · 1d
A 34% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 34%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Historical probability chart
The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.
Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.
Yes probability
96%
Yes probability
3%
Yes probability
38%
Yes probability
1%