Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?

Current implied probability

100%

Yes price

1.00

No price

0.00

Volume

$221.41K

Liquidity

$154.16K

24h volume

$214.43K

Ends

Jul 21, 2026 · 0d

A 100% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 100%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Low resolution risk

Source-dependent resolution

Ends soon

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

About this market

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.