Sports
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Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer

Current implied probability

38%

Yes price

0.38

No price

0.62

Volume

$205.21K

Liquidity

$160.25K

24h volume

$205.21K

Ends

Sep 17, 2026 · 7d

A 38% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 38%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.

Resolution risk

Medium resolution risk
Source-dependent resolution
Boundary-sensitive wording

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Lukas Neumayer in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

About this market

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Lukas Neumayer in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Lukas Neumayer. This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probability over time

Historical probability chart

The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.

Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.

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