40%
Yes price
0.40
No price
0.60
Volume
$78.33K
Liquidity
$217.46K
24h volume
$78.23K
Ends
Oct 8, 2026 · 8d
A 40% market price means the market is currently pricing the outcome around 40%, not that the event is certain. Probabilities move as new information arrives.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Arthur Rinderknech in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Arthur Rinderknech in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Alex Molcan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Historical probability chart
The probability-over-time chart will appear here when enough price-history data is available for this market.
Event market prices are not guarantees. Probabilities can move quickly, liquidity can be thin, and resolution rules matter. MarketPulses shows educational analytics only and does not provide trading, betting, or investment advice. Read full disclaimer.
Yes probability
27%
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44%
Yes probability
0%
Yes probability
21%